The growth, inflation, global trade volume, and commodity price forecasts from the World Bank Group’s Global Economic Prospects (GEP) - June 2026 Report are briefly summarized below.

1-Global economic growth is projected to be 2.5% and 2,8% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, while Turkish economy is projected to grow by 2,8% and 3.7% in those years.

2-World Bank Commodity Price Index: is projected to realize at 98.4 in 2025, and at 119.8 and 104.5 in 2026 and 2027, respectively.

3-Global trade volume is projected to increase by 2.9% and 3.3% in 2025 and 2026, respectively.

1-The global economy is projected to grow at rates of 2,5% and 2,8% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, while the Turkish economy is projected to grow at rates of 2,8% and 3.7%:

The global economy is facing yet another major shock. The conflict in the Middle East has caused sharp increases in energy prices, reignited inflationary pressures, and strengthened expectations that monetary policy will be tightened.

Before the conflict erupted, global economic activity appeared to be on a solid footing, supported by strong growth in some major economies and global trade that was outperforming expectations; this was driven in part by robust growth in exports of artificial intelligence (AI)-related technology and a slight decline in tariff levels. However, this conflict has led to a marked deterioration in the global outlook, with approximately two-thirds of the world’s economies now facing weaker growth prospects..

The global economy, which grew by 2.9% in 2025, is projected to grow 2.5% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027. Compared to the January 2026 GEP projections, these estimates are 0.1 percentage points lower for 2026 and 0.1 percentage points higher for 2027.

Advanced economies, which grew by 1.8% in 2025, growth is projected to grow1.8% and 1.5% in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the January 2026 GEP projections, these forecasts are 0.1 percentage points lower for 2026 and 0.2 percentage points higher for 2027.

Developing countries, which grew by 4.4% in 2025, growth is projected to grow 3.6% and 4.2% in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the January 2026 GEP projections, these estimates are 0.4 percentage points lower for 2026 and 0.1 percentage points higher for 2027.

The Turkish economy, which grew by 3.6% in 2025, growth is projected to grow 2.8% and 3.7% in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the January 2026 GEP forecasts, these projections are 0.9 percentage points lower for 2026 and 0.7 percentage points lower for 2027.

2-The World Bank Commodity Price Index is projected to be 98.4, 119.8, and 104.5 in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively:

World Bank Group (WBG) Commodity Price Index: which realized at 98.4 in 2025,  it is projected to realized at 119.8 and 104.5 in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the EO March 2026 forecasts, these projections are 28.9 points higher for 2026 and 10.4 points higher for 2027.

The Energy Index, which realized at 98.4 in 2025, it is projected to realized at 119.8 and 104.5 in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the EO March 2026 forecasts, these forecasts are 39,7 points higher for 2026 and 13,5 points higher for 2027.

The Non-Energy Index, which realized at 115,,4 in 2025, it is projected to realized at 120,2 and 116,7 in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Compared to the EO March 2026 forecasts these forecasts are 7,1 points higher for 2026 and 4,0 points higher for 2027.

3-Global trade volume is projected to increase by 2.9% in 2025 and 3.3% in 2026:

Global trade volume, which increased by 4.8% in 2025, it is projected to grow by 2.9% and 3.3% in 2026 and 2027, respectively.